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Monday, September 11, 2006

MD-Sen, Comptroller: Last-Minute Poll

Via email from Peter Franchot's campaign, a Survey USA poll of likely Democratic voters:
Senate: 9/11 (8/31); MoE +/- 4.9%

Cardin 47% (38%)
Mfume 38% (42%)
Rales 7% (7%)

Comptroller: 9/11 (8/31); MoE +/- 4.9%

Franchot 32% (15%)
Owens 32% (42%)
Schaefer 31% (35%)
This is big news for Cardin, who seems to be reeling in the undecided Dems that were leaning toward Mfume a week earlier. Hopefully the actual turnout will go otherwise, but SUSA is a pretty reliable outfit, so I think all the Mfume camp can do is pray and get out the vote.

But the huge news is Franchot doubling his percentage, putting Owens' electoral future, much less Schaefer's, in doubt. Maybe it was the Post and Sun endorsements, maybe voters were turned off by the Old Mother Hubbard spat between Schaefer and Owens, but Franchot's campaign, which looked quixotic a year ago, has got a lot of momentum in the final stretch.


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