Numbers

Just finished my microeconomics midterm. Remind me to know more about natural logarithms...

Lest my last post give the impression that I'm being overly optimistic about the Democrats' chances of winning back Congress, let's consider the recent Survey USA poll showing Ben Cardin and Michael Steele tied at 46%. This dKos diary has a pretty good analysis of the crosstabs. Since this is the second SUSA poll showing Cardin and Steele neck and neck, and since SUSA tends to have pretty good numbers, I think there is cause for concern, despite the clear trend in Cardin's favor. Clearly, the only way Steele can win is by peeling away enough blacks and moderate whites to overcome the Republicans' minority status in Maryland. And sure enough, that's what Steele and the Republicans have been attempting, including, most recently, appealing to black social conservatives. Of course, if Steele continues to associate himself with crazies and throw fits over the use of the word "slavish," while dismissing things that actually matter to people's lives, then his plan might backfire.

Tags: election 2006 md-sen maryland michael steele ben cardin